Datafolha: Lula Has 40%, Flávio 36% in First-Round Presidential Vote - 25/09/2026 - Brazil - Folha de S.Paulo
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A Datafolha poll indicates that Lula has 40% of voting intentions in the first round, compared with 36% for Flávio Bolsonaro. In the second round, there is a tie: the president has 47% and the senator, 45%. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus.
A Datafolha poll indicates that Lula has 40% of voting intentions in the first round, compared with 36% for Flávio Bolsonaro. In the second round, there is a tie: the president has 47% and the senator, 45%. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus.
With the final week of the campaign approaching, the scenario repeats the tight race seen in previous rounds of the poll.
However, Flávio did not maintain the gains that had narrowed Lula’s lead from 10 to 3 percentage points in the first round. It has now returned to 4.
The poll was conducted as the crisis at the Supreme Federal Court eased and amid the Lula administration’s announcement of a 15% increase in the Bolsa Família welfare program.
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https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/brazil/2026/09/datafolha-lula-has-40-flavio-36-in-first-round-presidential-vote.shtml
