Original-Research: SMAG Mobile Antenna Masts AG (von NuWays AG): BUY - T-Online
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Q2 output growth accelerated. Total output rose 31% yoy to EUR 10.3m (eNuW: EUR
9.5m), following 11% yoy growth in Q1. Sales increased 4% yoy to EUR 6.2m; the
customer acceptance in H2. Importantly, SMAG obtained its first industrial
customer approval on a TaWAN system at the end of June. These milestones
show the production ramp progressing well overall, in our view.
Adj. EBIT amounted to EUR 0.2m (Q2 25: EUR 1.1m), corresponding to a 1.9%
margin. Earnings reflect investment in staff, with headcount up 47% yoy, and
production capacity ahead of higher delivery volumes. Continued work on
lower-margin legacy projects also weighed on profitability. Project mix is
legacy work gradually winds down. Favourable H2 seasonality should lift
generate operating leverage. Together, these effects look set to support a
Order conversion from frame-to-fixed is gaining pace. Yesterday, SMAG signed
to fixed backlog. The contract covers deliveries with revenue recognition
production ramp. Fixed backlog had already risen c. 30% from EUR 140m at YE25
eastern flank. A further EUR 6m service order signed this week adds evidence
of demand from the installed base. Total backlog remained at c. EUR 1.4bn at
Further order catalysts lie ahead. The company already pointed to a possible
year. Moreover, we expect the optional TaWAN volumes to be called-off later
SMAG reiterated its FY26 guidance of EUR 55-60m total output and a 19-21% adj.
EBIT margin. Achieving it requires a pronounced H2 ramp, consistent with the
project-driven timing of deliveries and customer acceptances. TaWAN, the
base are set to drive that step-up. Beyond 2026, the planned expansion of
the Salzgitter facility should create room for materially higher volumes.
visibility on future growth. At c. 12x 2027e earnings (eNuW), the shares
offer an attractive risk/reward. BUY, PT EUR 47, based on DCF.
https://nwr.eqs-cockpit.com/fncls2.ssx?fn=redirect&u=dae30174da6dd02cd6c493242481d3ee
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/nuwaysag
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